Turner, Buckeyes drop Illini in 2-OT to reach Big Ten final
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
03/13/2010 - Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Evan Turner continues to steal the show in Big Ten Tournament, scoring 11 of his game-high 31 points in a pair of overtime sessions to lead No. 5 Ohio State to an exciting, 88-81, victory over Illinois to advance to the conference finals.
Turner, who drained a 37-foot three-pointer at the buzzer to beat Michigan on Friday, also had 10 rebounds and six assists, though he did turn the ball over 10 times and fouled out in the second OT.
The top-seeded Buckeyes (26-7) have won six straight and will next play the winner of the Purdue/Minnesota matchup.
William Buford chipped in 22 points and 10 rebounds, while Jon Diebler and David Lighty netted 14 and 12 points, respectively, for Ohio State.
Illinois (19-14) had chances at the end of regulation and first overtime to win the game but failed to get a shot off on each occasion.
Demetri McCamey posted 22 points, D.J. Richardson scored 15 and Mike Davis contributed 13 points and 18 rebounds for the Fighting Illini, who knocked off Wisconsin in the quarterfinals on Friday to pad its precarious NCAA Tournament resume.
Down 50-39 in the second half, Turner and Diebler fueled a 20-point rally that appeared to knock the air out of Illinois. Buford's three-pointer at the eight-minute mark capped the spurt for a 59-50 cushion.
Mike Tisdale ended Illinois' seven-plus-minute scoreless stretch with two free throws, and McCamey's floater made it a one-possession game, 59-56, with 4 1/2 minutes left.
After a Davis bucket cut it to 62-61, McCamey followed a Lighty turnover with a go-ahead three-pointer with 1:16 to play in regulation.
Lighty answered with a tying layup while drawing contact but missed the ensuing free throw. McCamey was fouled on the next possession and hit both free throws to put Illinois in front with 31.5 seconds remaining.
Turner countered with up-and-under layup after taking his defender off the dribble from the baseline.
Illinois wasted valuable time bringing the ball up the court and called timeout with 3.1 ticks left. Those missed seconds proved costly, as McCamey drew two defenders at the foul line, leaving Davis open underneath. The 6- foot-9 forward failed to get the shot off before the buzzer sounded, though he missed the gimme anyway.
McCamey hit a three-pointer midway through the first extra session for a 73-69 Illinois lead. Turner then hit a pair of free throws around a Bill Cole tip-in before tying the game on a layup with 22.0 seconds left.
Without calling a timeout, McCamey dribbled away the clock, finally passing with one second remaining to Tyler Griffey, who foolishly swung the ball to Cole on the left wing as time expired.
Diebler opened the second OT with a three-pointer and Ohio State led from there. With a minute on the clock, Turner committed his fifth foul on Griffey, who hit 1-of-2 free throws to pull the Illini within 84-81.
Lighty sealed the dramatic win with an acrobatic driving layup and a steal and fastbreak lay-in.
Ohio State, which swept Illinois in the regular season by a combined 35 points, jumped out to an 8-2 lead on Turner's steal and slam a little over three minutes into the game.
After going up 15-7 with 13 minutes left, the Buckeyes went the next six minutes without scoring. Illinois' subsequent 14-0 run, highlighted by a McCamey-to-Davis alley-oop, provided the underdogs with a 21-15 lead.
The margin was still six points in the Illini's favor at halftime, 37-31, and reached double digits, 45-35, when McCamey's bucket went down five minutes into the second half.
Game Notes
Illinois' last conference tourney title came back in 2005, while Ohio State's last taste was 2007...Griffey and Tisdale had 13 and 10 points, respectively, for Illinois, which was outscored in the paint, 38-26...The Buckeyes made just 15-of-24 free throws.
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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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